WA State Government Spending

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Tue, Dec 15, 2009, 3:00 pm  //  Craig Mayberry

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It is always fascinating to watch the government budgeting process. With the recent reduction in revenue forecast, the Governor and other state politicians announced a severe cut in funding to the following key programs to meet a $760 million shortfall in this budget and $2.6 billion budget shortfall in 2011-2013 budget.

• Some correctional institutions to be closed
• School district's levy lid lift to be increased to 30%
• Basic Health Plan to be ended
• General Assistance for the unemployable to be ended
• Prescription drug assistance for 85,00 seniors to be suspended
• Maternity support for 50,000 pregnant mothers to be suspended
• Hospice assistance to be cut
• Financial aid to over 12,000 low income students to be ended
• Levy equalization to be suspended

I was heavily involved in the budgeting process at Intel Corporation for a number of years and I learned a lot about the games that get played in the budgeting process. At Intel we would start with the existing budget and then add spending depending on how much was available. A zero increase in the budget was generally considered a maintenance budget with maybe a slight increase for wages and benefits. Department managers were expected to fight for higher budgets and make strong cases about why they needed more money. As would be expected, they wanted to cut the critical programs Intel could not do without, it was part of the game. My role as a finance manager was to be the check and balance on the system, to test the legitimacy of the requests and balance all of the various departments to see who really needed the money. Budgeting was a very painful process, but generally the process worked.

In watching the state budgeting process there are some critical differences. As can be seen from the Governor's list above, politicians trot out all the key programs they know people will not want cut to make their case for more money. That is to be expected and is what the department managers should do. However, there are two inherent flaws in the system. First, the spending base is not based on the last budgeted number, but a “maintenance budget” which is much higher than the current budget. (I would love to see a politician claim with a straight face they need to increase spending by 17% just to provide the same level of service.) The $2.6 billion shortfall is because the revenue is not living up to a desired 17.2% increase in spending from the 2009-11 budget ($30.1 billion) to the 2011-13 budget ($35.3 billion). The other flaw is the lack of any real checks and balances in the system. My role as financial manager was to play the role of shareholder and push back on spending. In principle, legislators should probably play that check and balance role, but they do not. Voters are too far removed from the process to have enough information to adequately play that role. The budgeting process will never lead to appropriate results for the citizens of this state as long as these two flaws exist.

One way to put some checks and balances into the system, and correct the fatal flaws that currently exist, is to move to a low, medium and high priority budget system. Each department would be categorized as low, medium, or high, and then depending on expected revenue, a budget would be established based on a percentage increase (or decrease) from the prior budget. At current revenue levels spending can increase by 3.7% over the 2007-09 budget even with the December revenue level. This allows a 4% increase for high priority departments, 0% growth for medium priority, and a 15% budget cut for low priority programs. The outlook for 2011-13 is much improved with high priority programs getting a 8.5% increase, medium a 4% increase and low priority a 2% increase. Adjustments can then be made; the money can be taken from one part of the budget and given to another part of the budget. For example, deeper cuts in higher education can be moved to K-12 education, or the cuts in low priority programs can be deeper and the money moved to health care. I have put together an Excel spreadsheet with all of the operating budget departments. You can easily create your own budget by changing the percentages for high, medium, and low programs, change the priority category of the department, or make other specific adjustments. I was hoping to be able to make it available though this blog, but it only allows pictures, so if you want a copy of the spreadsheet email me at ckmayberry@clearwire.net and I would be happy to send it to you.

This approach at least ensures that money is going to critical programs and decisions are more transparent and easier to follow. It also allows the formulas to act as some measure of checks and balances on the system when politicians are not willing to play that role. It is hard to take politicians seriously when they make exorbitant claims of the deep budget cuts to be made to key programs, when in fact no such cuts need to happen. Despite the apparent hype, Washington State revenue and spending has gone up each year, and the trend will likely continue. It would be great for politicians to hand out 10% budget increases every year and never have to make a hard decision, but those days are over. The new reality is that the economy is not going to grow much over the next 3-5 years. Every level of government wants more money, but whenever one level takes more it comes at the expense of another level. For instance, an increase in taxes at the federal level means citizens in Washington have less to spend and therefore will buy fewer goods, leading to a further decline in sales tax revenue. The problem is not the amount of money, but flaws in the process that do not allow the appropriate checks and balances. Fix the flaws and then we can have a more realistic budget conversation.

The picture of the front table of Craig's multi-table spreadsheet. You can email him and he will send you the Excell spreadsheet. See article for what he suggests you might accomplish with it.

UPDATE: City of Bham Moonlighting Issue - More Documents

Mon, Jan 30, 2012, 10:58 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley updates us on the latest facts coming to light about City of Bellingham employee moonlighting

2 comments; last on Feb 01, 2012

Compliance, Noncompliance and Invalidity in Whatcom County

Sun, Jan 29, 2012, 10:16 pm  //  Wendy Harris

The County's rural planning actions have not just failed to comply with the GMA...they have contradicted the goals of the GMA.

2 comments; last on Feb 01, 2012

Open thru February - Village Books has opened a shop at Bellis Faire Mall - next to Macy's.

A Worm’s Eye View of our local WorkSource Center

Wed, Jan 25, 2012, 9:42 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley visits the local WorkSource center and interviews the regional director

0 comments

Watch out for basement flooding

Thu, Jan 19, 2012, 9:03 pm  //  Paul de Armond

Stormwater surge may back up sewers

5 comments; last on Jan 21, 2012

The Political Junkie interviews Kathy Kershner

Thu, Jan 19, 2012, 4:29 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley discusses the Jail, Jack Louws, and an impartial council with our new Council Chair

1 comments; last on Jan 20, 2012

SOPA - A Step in Destroying Democracy

Thu, Jan 19, 2012, 12:17 am  //  John Servais

NWCitizen.com went black for Wednesday, Jan 18, 2012, as a protest against proposed legislation, SOPA and PIPA. Here is what was posted.

1 comments; last on Jan 19, 2012

Why SOPA is so terrible

Tue, Jan 17, 2012, 6:28 pm  //  John Servais

On Wednesday, thousands of websites will go dark to show opposition to SOPA. I will be posting a single article explaining who SOPA is so bad.

0 comments

Planning Commissioner Mocks Environmental Concern For Coal Terminal

Sat, Jan 14, 2012, 11:06 pm  //  Wendy Harris

Planning Commissioner Onkels should recuse himself from review of environmental impacts at GPT.

2 comments; last on Jan 16, 2012

Jack Petree, Olympia, the Whatcom Council and Obama’s Inner Circle

Wed, Jan 11, 2012, 8:04 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Latest from the Political Junkie on a variety of subjects

7 comments; last on Jan 15, 2012

Commmunity Governance at its Best

Mon, Jan 09, 2012, 8:27 pm  //  Tip Johnson

We have a new mayor!

4 comments; last on Jan 10, 2012

Property Rights Protected Under Lake Whatcom Stormwater Proposal

Sun, Jan 08, 2012, 11:02 pm  //  Wendy Harris

The County's proposed stormwater regulations for Lake Whatcom will increase development without improving water quality

2 comments; last on Jan 20, 2012

Riley Rouses Row Over Domestic Violence

Sun, Jan 08, 2012, 1:21 am  //  John Servais

Issue is County Council member Kathy Kershner and how our social service programs are funded.

3 comments; last on Jan 08, 2012

Some thoughts on the Occupy Bellingham issue

Sun, Jan 01, 2012, 12:05 am  //  John Servais

A third note on Jan 1 about the Herald photos with links. And previous thoughts on the trivia around the militarized evictions.

9 comments; last on Jan 10, 2012

Kelli Linville has taken oath as mayor

Fri, Dec 30, 2011, 2:07 pm  //  John Servais

Kelli assumes office of mayor at midnight Dec 31

6 comments; last on Jan 02, 2012

Bellingham Herald removes comments

Fri, Dec 30, 2011, 11:59 am  //  Wendy Harris

Decide for yourself if this blog comment, posted under my own name, should have been flagged and removed from the Bellingham Herald Online Edition.

1 comments; last on Dec 30, 2011

Herald Permits Censorship of Pro-Occupy Bellingham Comments

Fri, Dec 30, 2011, 11:14 am  //  Wendy Harris

Anyone can "flag" a blog posting, resulting in immediate removal of your comment, regardless of merit. This is occuring for comments supporting OB.

1 comments; last on Dec 30, 2011

City Exceeds Scope of Occupy Bellingham Eviction

Wed, Dec 28, 2011, 8:26 pm  //  Wendy Harris

The City infringed on the public’s right to peaceful assembly in a public park by enforcing an inappropriate public safety law

2 comments; last on Dec 30, 2011

Dan Pike Issues Order to Evict Occupy Bellingham

Tue, Dec 27, 2011, 11:55 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley questions Pike's timing, and Occupy's choice of tactics

2 comments; last on Dec 28, 2011

Updates from The Political Junkie

Tue, Dec 20, 2011, 2:19 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Where Riley provides more info on the City of Bellingham employees moonlighting issue and Crawford's ethical troubles

0 comments

Dock Increases Risk of Invasive Species on Lake Whatcom

Sun, Dec 18, 2011, 8:43 pm  //  Wendy Harris

Relocation of a dock to Bloedel Donovan Park underscores failure to protect Lake Whatcom from invasive species

0 comments

Sam Crawford Faces Ethical Concerns . . . AGAIN

Thu, Dec 15, 2011, 12:44 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Local blogger Shane Roth files ethical complaint over Crawford's sweetheart deals

3 comments; last on Dec 16, 2011

Planning Commission Fails to Remove Cherry Point From Birch Bay Mitigation Plan

Wed, Dec 14, 2011, 7:05 am  //  Wendy Harris

Claiming it is unfair to treat large property owners different than small property owners, the Commission refuses to remove industrial areas from buffer mitigation proposal.

0 comments

Rick Perry, Can We Talk?

Tue, Dec 13, 2011, 9:58 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley has a conversation with Rick Perry

2 comments; last on Dec 16, 2011

For Gift Ideas, Think Beyond Parker Brothers

Sat, Dec 10, 2011, 9:32 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley discusses his love of board games and some good gift ideas

2 comments; last on Dec 11, 2011

The Political Junkie needs your input

Thu, Dec 08, 2011, 12:47 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Please take my reader's survey, I'm planning 2012

0 comments

Loophole Benefits SSA and Undermines Birch Bay Mitigation Proposal

Wed, Dec 07, 2011, 7:00 am  //  Wendy Harris

Tell the Planning Commission to eliminate this loophole

2 comments; last on Dec 14, 2011

Washington United for Marriage: It’s Time!

Tue, Dec 06, 2011, 11:12 am  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley attends a public meeting on equality

0 comments

The Cole Train: Loads of BS

Sun, Dec 04, 2011, 4:53 pm  //  Tip Johnson

Wherein the sooty prospect of economic necessity rears its ugly head

2 comments; last on Dec 04, 2011

Update on Cherry Point Buffer Mitigation Proposal

Fri, Dec 02, 2011, 1:08 pm  //  Wendy Harris

Planning Staff's recommended revision will not prevent SSA from reducing wetland buffers.

0 comments

UPDATE: City’s response focused on favoritism, not lost revenue

Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 5:51 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

More on the city employee moonlighting issue

0 comments

TPJ Exclusive: Little Documented Oversight for City Employee Moonlighting

Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 4:29 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

The Political Junkie breaks a story of employee moonlighting within city of Bellingham

7 comments; last on Nov 30, 2011

Deer me!

Sat, Nov 26, 2011, 3:30 pm  //  Tip Johnson

O.K. Who's in charge of all these ungulates?

14 comments; last on Dec 01, 2011

County Proposal Includes New Cherry Point Buffer Mitigation Requirements

Tue, Nov 22, 2011, 9:29 pm  //  Wendy Harris

The County's new mitigation proposal is unlikely to be adequate for Cherry Point's industrial impacts to habitat buffers

3 comments; last on Nov 24, 2011

CameraGate:  Red-light safety or city revenue?

Mon, Nov 21, 2011, 1:00 am  //  Guest writer

With budget woes, Bellingham passes on safety in favor of cash. Starting in 2008, Bellingham officials were coached by ATS on how to get Red Light cameras through…

26 comments; last on Nov 29, 2011

Cameras, not coal, decided the election

Sat, Nov 19, 2011, 8:24 pm  //  Paul de Armond

Looking at the numbers for the Bellingham elections

11 comments; last on Nov 22, 2011

Election Analysis: What does it take to win a county seat?

Fri, Nov 18, 2011, 12:28 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley examines Maginnis/Crawford and Kremen/Larson

0 comments

Election Analysis: Dropoff, Lynden Suburbs and the “Buys Bounce”

Thu, Nov 17, 2011, 5:20 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley looks at Lynden and coins some new phrases.

0 comments

Political Junkie Election Analysis: Louws/Ericksen

Wed, Nov 16, 2011, 12:31 pm  //  Riley Sweeney

Riley takes a look at Louws/Ericksen in the search for moderate Republicans

1 comments; last on Nov 17, 2011

Kelli Linville is elected Mayor of Bellingham

Tue, Nov 15, 2011, 5:21 pm  //  John Servais

Results are posted as of 5:21 pm. Use links at top of right side column.

2 comments; last on Nov 15, 2011

Padden Trails Rezone – You Should Be Worried

Tue, Nov 15, 2011, 9:43 am  //  Dick Conoboy

The Padden Trails rezone effort is a misuse of the Infill Tool Kit on the outskirts of Bellingham.

8 comments; last on Nov 16, 2011

Still over 6,000 ballots to count

Mon, Nov 14, 2011, 4:52 pm  //  John Servais

Kelli Linville takes safe lead for mayor of Bellingham. Sam Crawford is leading for county council.

1 comments; last on Nov 14, 2011

 

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